Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Forte Virtus FC

23 Sep 2026 · 16:40

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Al Jazira Al Hamra

Forte Virtus FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.1% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 49.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% 3.50 DRAW 26.7% 3.38 AWAY 47.5% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Forte Virtus FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Jazira Al Hamra Forte Virtus FC

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Forte Virtus FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Jazira Al Hamra Forte Virtus FC

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Forte Virtus FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Jazira Al Hamra Forte Virtus FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Forte Virtus FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Al Jazira Al Hamra ↑ +0.63 (+21.7%)

Forte Virtus FC ↓ -0.20 (-9.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.