Soles de Sonora vs Deportivo Etchojoa

23 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Soles de Sonora

Deportivo Etchojoa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.2% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.12 DRAW 27.7% 3.25 AWAY 30.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Soles de Sonora

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Soles de Sonora Deportivo Etchojoa

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Soles de Sonora Deportivo Etchojoa

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Soles de Sonora has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Soles de Sonora Deportivo Etchojoa

The combined recent performance profile favours Soles de Sonora.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Soles de Sonora ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Deportivo Etchojoa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.