Tanta vs Sporting Alexandria

22 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Tanta

Sporting Alexandria

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.9% 1.68 DRAW 28.3% 3.26 AWAY 16.9% 5.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sporting Alexandria

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tanta Sporting Alexandria

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tanta Sporting Alexandria

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Sporting Alexandria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tanta Sporting Alexandria

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting Alexandria.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tanta ↑ +0.11 (+6.9%)

Sporting Alexandria = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.