Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City vs Kamphaeng Phet

23 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.0 pp

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City

Kamphaeng Phet

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.1% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.2% 3.43 DRAW 23.6% 4.10 AWAY 48.3% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.1% win probability, compared with 28.2% implied by the market. The 7.0 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Kamphaeng Phet

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Kamphaeng Phet

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 20.5 · On target allowed 9.8

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City Kamphaeng Phet

The combined recent performance profile favours Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Nakhon Sawan See Khwae City ↑ +1.06 (+44.4%)

Kamphaeng Phet ↓ -0.30 (-13.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.