Nakhon Si United vs Kasetsart FC

23 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Nakhon Si United

Kasetsart FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 40.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 2.90 DRAW 24.6% 3.75 AWAY 43.7% 2.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nakhon Si United clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.8% win probability, compared with 31.8% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nakhon Si United has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nakhon Si United Kasetsart FC

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Nakhon Si United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nakhon Si United Kasetsart FC

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nakhon Si United Kasetsart FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Nakhon Si United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nakhon Si United = (0.0%)

Kasetsart FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.