Fiji (W) vs Solomon Islands (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Fiji (W)

Solomon Islands (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 32.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 1.97 DRAW 24.1% 3.80 AWAY 29.5% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Solomon Islands (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fiji (W) Solomon Islands (W)

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Solomon Islands (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fiji (W) Solomon Islands (W)

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Solomon Islands (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fiji (W) Solomon Islands (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Solomon Islands (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fiji (W) ↑ +0.37 (+23.3%)

Solomon Islands (W) ↓ -1.10 (-26.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.