Paraguay U19 vs Chile U19

23 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Paraguay U19

Chile U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.00 DRAW 25.0% 3.60 AWAY 30.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Paraguay U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.6% win probability, compared with 45.0% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Paraguay U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paraguay U19 Chile U19

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paraguay U19 Chile U19

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Paraguay U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paraguay U19 Chile U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Paraguay U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Paraguay U19 ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Chile U19 ↓ -0.32 (-9.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.