Defensores Salto vs CA Compania General

23 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Defensores Salto

CA Compania General

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.9% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 13.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.1% 1.43 DRAW 19.2% 5.00 AWAY 13.7% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Defensores Salto

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensores Salto CA Compania General

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Defensores Salto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensores Salto CA Compania General

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensores Salto CA Compania General

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Defensores Salto ↓ -0.10 (-6.7%)

CA Compania General ↑ +2.50 (+55.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.