Almagro Reserves vs Almirante Brown Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Almagro Reserves

Almirante Brown Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 20.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 1.90 DRAW 30.0% 3.00 AWAY 22.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Almagro Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Almagro Reserves Almirante Brown Reserves

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Almagro Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Almagro Reserves Almirante Brown Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Almagro Reserves Almirante Brown Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Almagro Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Almagro Reserves = (0.0%)

Almirante Brown Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.