CD Universitario Reserves vs Udelas FC

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

CD Universitario Reserves

Udelas FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 37.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.24 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 33.6% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Udelas FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.1% win probability, compared with 33.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Udelas FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Universitario Reserves Udelas FC

Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Udelas FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Universitario Reserves Udelas FC

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Udelas FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Universitario Reserves Udelas FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Udelas FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Universitario Reserves ↑ +0.04 (+1.8%)

Udelas FC ↓ -0.06 (-2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.