Preah Sihanouk vs Kep

23 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

Preah Sihanouk

Kep

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 17.5% AWAY 33.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 1.95 DRAW 19.1% 4.75 AWAY 34.5% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Preah Sihanouk

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Preah Sihanouk Kep

Shots 13.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Preah Sihanouk, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Preah Sihanouk Kep

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Kep has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Preah Sihanouk Kep

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Preah Sihanouk = (0.0%)

Kep = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.