Egypt U20 vs Libya U20

24 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Egypt U20

Libya U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 92.3% DRAW 5.1% AWAY 2.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 88.9% 1.04 DRAW 7.1% 13.00 AWAY 4.0% 23.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Egypt U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 92.3% win probability, compared with 88.9% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Egypt U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Egypt U20 Libya U20

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Egypt U20 Libya U20

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 23.0 · On target allowed 10.0

Egypt U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Egypt U20 Libya U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Egypt U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Egypt U20 = (0.0%)

Libya U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.