Parrillas One vs Deportes Savio

24 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Parrillas One

Deportes Savio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.15 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 28.8% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Parrillas One relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.6% win probability, compared with 42.9% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportes Savio

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parrillas One Deportes Savio

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 14.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parrillas One Deportes Savio

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Parrillas One has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parrillas One Deportes Savio

The combined recent performance profile favours Parrillas One.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Parrillas One ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Deportes Savio ↑ +0.40 (+14.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.