Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) vs Al Orthodoxi (W)

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W)

Al Orthodoxi (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 33.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.04 DRAW 24.7% 3.70 AWAY 30.6% 2.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Orthodoxi (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.7% win probability, compared with 30.6% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Orthodoxi (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) Al Orthodoxi (W)

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Al Orthodoxi (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) Al Orthodoxi (W)

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Orthodoxi (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) Al Orthodoxi (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Orthodoxi (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Nashama Al-Mustaqbal (W) ↑ +0.30 (+17.5%)

Al Orthodoxi (W) ↓ -0.51 (-14.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.