Gremio Prudente vs Uniao Sao Joao

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Gremio Prudente

Uniao Sao Joao

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.10 DRAW 29.8% 3.10 AWAY 26.2% 3.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gremio Prudente

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gremio Prudente Uniao Sao Joao

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Gremio Prudente, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gremio Prudente Uniao Sao Joao

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gremio Prudente Uniao Sao Joao

The combined recent performance profile favours Gremio Prudente.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gremio Prudente ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

Uniao Sao Joao ↑ +0.12 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.