Deportivo Ocotal vs Xilotepelt FC

27 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Deportivo Ocotal

Xilotepelt FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.27 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 33.1% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Xilotepelt FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.6% win probability, compared with 33.1% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Xilotepelt FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Ocotal Xilotepelt FC

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Xilotepelt FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Ocotal Xilotepelt FC

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 0.3

Xilotepelt FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Ocotal Xilotepelt FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Xilotepelt FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Ocotal = (0.0%)

Xilotepelt FC ↑ +0.02 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.