Deportivo Muniz Reserves vs JJ Urquiza Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Deportivo Muniz Reserves

JJ Urquiza Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 63.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% 5.25 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 59.6% 1.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JJ Urquiza Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.1% win probability, compared with 59.6% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

JJ Urquiza Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Muniz Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours JJ Urquiza Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Muniz Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.8

JJ Urquiza Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Muniz Reserves JJ Urquiza Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours JJ Urquiza Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Muniz Reserves ↑ +1.17 (+28.7%)

JJ Urquiza Reserves ↓ -0.19 (-10.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.