STOCHASTICBET
← Match Center
Egypt Second Division B · EG

El Obour SC vs El Alameen

25 Sep 2026 · 15:30
OPPORTUNITY
NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp
El Obour SC
El Alameen
STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY
HOME 49.2% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 20.9%
MARKET PROBABILITY
HOME 49.1% 1.87 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 21.2% 4.33
MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: El Alameen

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
El Obour SC El Alameen
Shots 0.8 · On target 0.5 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours El Alameen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
El Obour SC El Alameen
Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.3

El Obour SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
El Obour SC El Alameen

The combined recent performance profile favours El Obour SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

El Obour SC ↓ -0.04 (-2.0%)
El Alameen ↑ +0.58 (+15.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.