Sweden U19 vs Ukraine U19

24 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Sweden U19

Ukraine U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% 2.07 DRAW 25.4% 3.55 AWAY 31.1% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ukraine U19

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sweden U19 Ukraine U19

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Ukraine U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sweden U19 Ukraine U19

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Sweden U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sweden U19 Ukraine U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sweden U19 = (0.0%)

Ukraine U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.