Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20

24 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Uganda U20

Burundi U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% 1.92 DRAW 24.8% 3.64 AWAY 28.3% 3.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Uganda U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uganda U20 Burundi U20

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Burundi U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uganda U20 Burundi U20

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Uganda U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uganda U20 Burundi U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Uganda U20 = (0.0%)

Burundi U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.