Tecza Biskupiec vs Mazur Elk

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Tecza Biskupiec

Mazur Elk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.1% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 12.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.8% 1.37 DRAW 20.1% 4.55 AWAY 13.1% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tecza Biskupiec has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tecza Biskupiec Mazur Elk

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tecza Biskupiec Mazur Elk

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Tecza Biskupiec has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tecza Biskupiec Mazur Elk

The combined recent performance profile favours Tecza Biskupiec.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tecza Biskupiec ↓ -0.03 (-2.1%)

Mazur Elk ↑ +2.00 (+40.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.