Fanja vs Al-Nasr Salalah

25 Sep 2026 · 15:20

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.6 pp

Fanja

Al-Nasr Salalah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 43.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% 3.10 DRAW 28.7% 3.25 AWAY 41.1% 2.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al-Nasr Salalah relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.7% win probability, compared with 41.1% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al-Nasr Salalah has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fanja Al-Nasr Salalah

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Al-Nasr Salalah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fanja Al-Nasr Salalah

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Al-Nasr Salalah has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fanja Al-Nasr Salalah

The combined recent performance profile favours Al-Nasr Salalah.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fanja ↑ +0.04 (+1.3%)

Al-Nasr Salalah ↑ +0.14 (+6.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.