Kilbarrack Utd vs Killester Donnycarney FC

25 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Kilbarrack Utd

Killester Donnycarney FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% 1.83 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 26.8% 3.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Killester Donnycarney FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kilbarrack Utd Killester Donnycarney FC

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kilbarrack Utd Killester Donnycarney FC

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kilbarrack Utd Killester Donnycarney FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Kilbarrack Utd ↓ -0.02 (-0.9%)

Killester Donnycarney FC ↑ +0.32 (+10.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.