Wayside Celtic vs Tolka Rovers

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Wayside Celtic

Tolka Rovers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.3% DRAW 11.3% AWAY 9.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.9% 1.33 DRAW 13.6% 7.34 AWAY 11.5% 8.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Wayside Celtic clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.3% win probability, compared with 74.9% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Wayside Celtic

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wayside Celtic Tolka Rovers

Shots 16.5 · On target 9.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Wayside Celtic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wayside Celtic Tolka Rovers

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wayside Celtic Tolka Rovers

The combined recent performance profile favours Wayside Celtic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Wayside Celtic ↓ -0.09 (-6.1%)

Tolka Rovers ↑ +3.70 (+74.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.