Inchicore Athletic FC vs St Francis FC

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Inchicore Athletic FC

St Francis FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.6% DRAW 8.9% AWAY 5.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.6% 1.14 DRAW 10.8% 8.72 AWAY 6.6% 14.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Inchicore Athletic FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 85.6% win probability, compared with 82.6% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Inchicore Athletic FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inchicore Athletic FC St Francis FC

Shots 13.3 · On target 9.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Inchicore Athletic FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inchicore Athletic FC St Francis FC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 8.5

Inchicore Athletic FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inchicore Athletic FC St Francis FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Inchicore Athletic FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Inchicore Athletic FC ↓ -0.26 (-18.4%)

St Francis FC ↑ +8.95 (+170.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.