FC Zurich vs Neuchatel Xamax

25 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Zurich

Neuchatel Xamax

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% DRAW 19.0% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.0% 1.67 DRAW 20.3% 4.75 AWAY 21.7% 4.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC Zurich has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Zurich Neuchatel Xamax

Shots 14.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Zurich, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Zurich Neuchatel Xamax

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Zurich Neuchatel Xamax

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Zurich ↑ +0.22 (+15.4%)

Neuchatel Xamax ↓ -0.05 (-1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.