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Mexico Liga TDP · MX

CD Pioneros Junior vs Corsarios de Campeche

25 Sep 2026 · 23:30
NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp
CD Pioneros Junior
Corsarios de Campeche
HOME 48.6% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 22.6%
HOME 47.3% 1.96 DRAW 29.0% 3.20 AWAY 23.8% 3.90

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output
CD Pioneros Junior Corsarios de Campeche
Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Pioneros Junior, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
CD Pioneros Junior Corsarios de Campeche
Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
CD Pioneros Junior Corsarios de Campeche

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD Pioneros Junior ↑ +0.05 (+2.7%)
Corsarios de Campeche ↑ +0.30 (+8.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.