Tenerife C vs AD Anaza

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Tenerife C

AD Anaza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% 1.62 DRAW 26.2% 3.40 AWAY 18.7% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AD Anaza relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 21.5% win probability, compared with 18.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tenerife C

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tenerife C AD Anaza

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Tenerife C, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tenerife C AD Anaza

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.0

AD Anaza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tenerife C AD Anaza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Tenerife C ↓ -0.11 (-6.5%)

AD Anaza ↑ +0.75 (+18.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.