Cordoba Veracruz vs Manta Rayas

26 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Cordoba Veracruz

Manta Rayas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 86.4% DRAW 9.3% AWAY 4.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 86.0% 1.09 DRAW 9.9% 9.50 AWAY 4.1% 23.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cordoba Veracruz Manta Rayas

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Cordoba Veracruz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cordoba Veracruz Manta Rayas

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Cordoba Veracruz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cordoba Veracruz Manta Rayas

The combined recent performance profile favours Cordoba Veracruz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cordoba Veracruz ↓ -0.08 (-6.8%)

Manta Rayas ↑ +11.80 (+105.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.