Gremio U20 vs Sao Jose EC U20

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Gremio U20

Sao Jose EC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.0% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 20.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% 1.67 DRAW 24.4% 3.80 AWAY 19.9% 4.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gremio U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gremio U20 Sao Jose EC U20

Shots 15.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Gremio U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gremio U20 Sao Jose EC U20

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Sao Jose EC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gremio U20 Sao Jose EC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Gremio U20 = (0.0%)

Sao Jose EC U20 ↑ +0.67 (+16.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.