Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Argentino de Rosario

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Argentino de Rosario

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% 1.93 DRAW 29.3% 3.35 AWAY 19.6% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Argentino de Rosario

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentino de Rosario

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentino de Rosario

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentino de Rosario

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

Argentino de Rosario ↑ +0.50 (+11.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.