Yupanqui vs General Lamadrid

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Yupanqui

General Lamadrid

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% DRAW 32.1% AWAY 37.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% 3.15 DRAW 31.5% 3.00 AWAY 38.4% 2.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: General Lamadrid

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yupanqui General Lamadrid

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours General Lamadrid, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yupanqui General Lamadrid

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Yupanqui has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yupanqui General Lamadrid

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Yupanqui ↑ +0.05 (+1.6%)

General Lamadrid ↑ +0.21 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.