Deportivo Cali (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Deportivo Cali (W)

Independiente Santa Fe (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.8% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 16.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% 1.62 DRAW 25.3% 3.65 AWAY 17.6% 5.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Independiente Santa Fe (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Cali (W) Independiente Santa Fe (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Cali (W) Independiente Santa Fe (W)

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Deportivo Cali (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Cali (W) Independiente Santa Fe (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Cali (W) = (0.0%)

Independiente Santa Fe (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.