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Mexico Liga TDP · MX

UDS vs Academia Dragones FC

26 Sep 2026 · 00:20
NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp
UDS
Academia Dragones FC
HOME 46.1% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 28.6%
HOME 45.5% 2.10 DRAW 25.8% 3.70 AWAY 28.6% 3.34

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Academia Dragones FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
UDS Academia Dragones FC
Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Academia Dragones FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
UDS Academia Dragones FC
Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 2.3

UDS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
UDS Academia Dragones FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UDS = (0.0%)
Academia Dragones FC ↓ -0.10 (-3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.