CD San Marcos vs CD El Vencedor

25 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CD San Marcos

CD El Vencedor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.4% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 45.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.1% 2.90 DRAW 25.0% 3.60 AWAY 43.9% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD El Vencedor

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD San Marcos CD El Vencedor

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours CD El Vencedor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD San Marcos CD El Vencedor

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD San Marcos CD El Vencedor

The combined recent performance profile favours CD El Vencedor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD San Marcos = (0.0%)

CD El Vencedor = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.