UDC Txantrea vs Bidezarra

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

UDC Txantrea

Bidezarra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% 1.83 DRAW 26.9% 3.50 AWAY 21.6% 4.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UDC Txantrea

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UDC Txantrea Bidezarra

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours UDC Txantrea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UDC Txantrea Bidezarra

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 0.8

Bidezarra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UDC Txantrea Bidezarra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

UDC Txantrea ↓ -0.27 (-12.9%)

Bidezarra ↑ +1.37 (+45.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.