Sport Boys Reserves vs Centro Social Pariacoto

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Sport Boys Reserves

Centro Social Pariacoto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.1% 1.75 DRAW 25.3% 3.60 AWAY 22.6% 4.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sport Boys Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sport Boys Reserves Centro Social Pariacoto

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Sport Boys Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sport Boys Reserves Centro Social Pariacoto

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Centro Social Pariacoto has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sport Boys Reserves Centro Social Pariacoto

The combined recent performance profile favours Sport Boys Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sport Boys Reserves = (0.0%)

Centro Social Pariacoto ↑ +0.28 (+7.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.