SK Roeselare vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.8 pp

SK Roeselare

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 40.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% 3.15 DRAW 23.6% 4.00 AWAY 46.3% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SK Roeselare clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.9% win probability, compared with 30.0% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Roeselare Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours SK Roeselare, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Roeselare Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

SK Roeselare has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Roeselare Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Roeselare.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SK Roeselare ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.