Torhout vs Sparta Petegem

26 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Torhout

Sparta Petegem

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.41 DRAW 25.8% 3.50 AWAY 36.8% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sparta Petegem clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.4% win probability, compared with 36.8% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Petegem

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Torhout Sparta Petegem

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 18.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Petegem, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Torhout Sparta Petegem

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Sparta Petegem has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Torhout Sparta Petegem

The combined recent performance profile favours Sparta Petegem.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Torhout ↑ +0.06 (+2.6%)

Sparta Petegem = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.