KSV Oudenaarde vs KV Mechelen II

26 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

KSV Oudenaarde

KV Mechelen II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.5% 2.72 DRAW 26.8% 3.60 AWAY 37.8% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KSV Oudenaarde

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KSV Oudenaarde KV Mechelen II

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KSV Oudenaarde KV Mechelen II

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

KV Mechelen II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KSV Oudenaarde KV Mechelen II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KSV Oudenaarde ↑ +0.52 (+23.4%)

KV Mechelen II ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.