Bogolle D.Tsugaru vs Shichigahama SC

27 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.3 pp

Bogolle D.Tsugaru

Shichigahama SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.1% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 61.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% 4.70 DRAW 23.2% 4.05 AWAY 56.9% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Shichigahama SC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 61.2% win probability, compared with 56.9% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shichigahama SC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bogolle D.Tsugaru Shichigahama SC

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Shichigahama SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bogolle D.Tsugaru Shichigahama SC

Shots allowed 25.3 · On target allowed 13.3 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Shichigahama SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bogolle D.Tsugaru Shichigahama SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Shichigahama SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bogolle D.Tsugaru ↑ +0.80 (+20.5%)

Shichigahama SC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.