Villa Don Bosco U20 vs Deportivo Metalurgico U20

25 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Villa Don Bosco U20

Deportivo Metalurgico U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 36.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.20 DRAW 25.7% 3.50 AWAY 33.3% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportivo Metalurgico U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.3% win probability, compared with 33.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Villa Don Bosco U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villa Don Bosco U20 Deportivo Metalurgico U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Villa Don Bosco U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villa Don Bosco U20 Deportivo Metalurgico U20

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Deportivo Metalurgico U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villa Don Bosco U20 Deportivo Metalurgico U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Metalurgico U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villa Don Bosco U20 = (0.0%)

Deportivo Metalurgico U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.