Portugal U20 vs Poland U20

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Portugal U20

Poland U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.7% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 13.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% 1.48 DRAW 21.6% 4.36 AWAY 14.9% 6.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Portugal U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portugal U20 Poland U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Portugal U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portugal U20 Poland U20

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portugal U20 Poland U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Portugal U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Portugal U20 ↓ -0.02 (-1.3%)

Poland U20 ↑ +1.32 (+26.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.