SC Ell (W) vs Racing FC Union (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

SC Ell (W)

Racing FC Union (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.4% DRAW 8.7% AWAY 85.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.9% 19.50 DRAW 9.1% 10.50 AWAY 86.0% 1.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Racing FC Union (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Ell (W) Racing FC Union (W)

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Racing FC Union (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Ell (W) Racing FC Union (W)

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Ell (W) Racing FC Union (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

SC Ell (W) ↑ +4.50 (+30.0%)

Racing FC Union (W) ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.