Khans Khuns-Erchim vs Khovd FC

26 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Khans Khuns-Erchim

Khovd FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 46.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% 3.34 DRAW 24.1% 3.75 AWAY 48.8% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Khans Khuns-Erchim relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.0% win probability, compared with 27.1% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Khovd FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khans Khuns-Erchim Khovd FC

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Khovd FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khans Khuns-Erchim Khovd FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 10.3

Khans Khuns-Erchim has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khans Khuns-Erchim Khovd FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Khans Khuns-Erchim ↑ +0.04 (+1.2%)

Khovd FC ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.