CF Almodovar vs CD Valdepenas

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

CF Almodovar

CD Valdepenas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 25.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.2% 1.89 DRAW 26.8% 3.40 AWAY 25.0% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Valdepenas

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Almodovar CD Valdepenas

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Valdepenas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Almodovar CD Valdepenas

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0

CF Almodovar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Almodovar CD Valdepenas

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Valdepenas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CF Almodovar ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

CD Valdepenas ↑ +0.05 (+1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.