FC Ajoie-Monterri vs Farvagny-Ogoz

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

FC Ajoie-Monterri

Farvagny-Ogoz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% 2.36 DRAW 24.9% 3.79 AWAY 35.0% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Farvagny-Ogoz

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Ajoie-Monterri Farvagny-Ogoz

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Ajoie-Monterri Farvagny-Ogoz

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Farvagny-Ogoz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Ajoie-Monterri Farvagny-Ogoz

The combined recent performance profile favours Farvagny-Ogoz.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Ajoie-Monterri ↑ +0.46 (+24.2%)

Farvagny-Ogoz ↓ -0.40 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.