Niigata UHW II vs Fukui United

27 Sep 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Niigata UHW II

Fukui United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 52.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% 3.99 DRAW 25.3% 3.70 AWAY 51.2% 1.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fukui United

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Niigata UHW II Fukui United

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Fukui United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Niigata UHW II Fukui United

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Niigata UHW II Fukui United

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Niigata UHW II ↑ +0.89 (+28.7%)

Fukui United ↓ -0.07 (-3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.