FC Baleine Shimonoseki vs Mitsubishi Mizushima

26 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

FC Baleine Shimonoseki

Mitsubishi Mizushima

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.2% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.94 DRAW 24.0% 3.95 AWAY 27.1% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Mitsubishi Mizushima

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Baleine Shimonoseki Mitsubishi Mizushima

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Mitsubishi Mizushima, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Baleine Shimonoseki Mitsubishi Mizushima

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.3

FC Baleine Shimonoseki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Baleine Shimonoseki Mitsubishi Mizushima

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Baleine Shimonoseki = (0.0%)

Mitsubishi Mizushima = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.