Chapecoense U20 vs Avai U20

26 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp

Chapecoense U20

Avai U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 36.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.14 DRAW 25.5% 3.60 AWAY 31.5% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Avai U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.4% win probability, compared with 31.5% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Avai U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chapecoense U20 Avai U20

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 18.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Avai U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chapecoense U20 Avai U20

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Avai U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chapecoense U20 Avai U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Avai U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chapecoense U20 ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Avai U20 ↑ +0.11 (+4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.